US-ROK-Japan Trilateral Strategic Dialogue
Link to the agenda
Link to the participant list
Link to the conference report
Sunday, July 19, 2015
Opening Trilateral Dinner
Monday, July 20, 2015
Session 1: Comparative Security Assessments
In this session, each presenter will explain how his or her country assesses Northeast Asian threats. What are the most imminent challenges and concerns to your country’s security? What are medium-term and longer-term threats? Specifically, what are your country’s threat perceptions of North Korea? Of China? What could cause escalation to a military engagement in the region? What are the most likely escalation risks? Which are most worrisome? Presenters should be as detailed as possible and discuss conventional, chemical, biological, cyber, space, and nuclear challenges and interactions between them. Discussions of how to address these concerns should be withheld to the next session.
ROK presenter: Dr. Kang CHOI
US presenter: RADM Michael MCDEVITT (USN, Ret.)
Japan presenter: Prof. Tomonori YOSHIZAKI
Session 2: Trilateral Cooperation to Deter and Respond
Each presenter will describe ways to improve US-ROK-Japan trilateral cooperation to address the Northeast Asian concerns discussed in the previous session. How can trilateralism improve deterrence and how is deterrence weakened by the failure of trilateralism? What are your country’s roles and responsibilities to deter and respond to these threats? What are your expectations of the other two countries’ roles and responsibilities? How can each of these roles and responsibilities be enhanced and better coordinated? How can we build upon the recently-concluded memorandum of understanding on a trilateral agreement to exchange intelligence about North Korean nuclear and missile programs? What next steps should receive priority to improve cooperation in peacetime and during a contingency? US and Japanese presenters should address how the outcomes of the Japan-US Security Consultative Committee and the revision of Japan-US Defense Guidelines could enhance such cooperation. Japanese presenter should also address the impact of changes in Japan’s policy toward collective self-defense.
Japan presenters: Ms. Ayako SHIMIZU, Mr. Tetsuo KOTANI
US presenter: Lt. Gen. Wallace “Chip” GREGSON (Ret.)
ROK presenter: Dr. Woo-Taek HONG
Groups get exercise, prepare answers to questions.
Round One Assessment
Plenary reconvenes to provide answers to questions and how each group reached those conclusions. After each presentation, the group is questioned by others on process and outcome.
Tuesday, July 21, 2015
Round two begins
Round two assessment
Session 3: Assessing the TTX
This session critically examines the outcomes of the TTX, focusing on expectations among all players, especially as identified in Session 2. What divergences among countries were revealed? How did responses differ from expectations? What are the key lessons learned from this exercise? What differences are there between this year’s TTX and last year’s?
Session 4: Next Steps
What should be done to close those gaps, to move trilateral cooperation forward, as well as next steps for Pacific Forum and this DTRA process.